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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

data as of 2026-03-21 00:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K−$17K$42K
Holders366+20346
Trades5.1K−1905.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.7%
−10.7 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI7.3%
+8.5 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.06
+36.42×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×39.05
+38.42×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.5K
−$10.8K
$34.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−161.6 pp
64.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.9%
−14.9 pp
84.8%
Bot %69.9%
−14.9 pp
84.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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