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Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?

data as of 2026-07-01 20:51 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 7, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
65¢
NO
35¢
YES
65¢
YesY-NNo
Position$871+$247$625
Holders2−1214
Trades16−1430
NO
35¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate80.4%
+22.1 pp
58.3%
Avg ROI-12.8%
−24.2 pp
11.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.87
−0.35×
×1.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−0.39×
×1.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$772
+$176
$596
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.9%
+36.3 pp
-20.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.7%
−4.1 pp
4.8%
Bot %0.7%
−4.1 pp
4.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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