Markets › detail

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 14?

data as of 2026-01-14 13:29 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$257−$44K$44K
Holders84−880964
Trades1.2K+41.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.3%
−53.5 pp
88.8%
Avg ROI54.2%
+54.4 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−0.16×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.15
+0.15×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34
−$4.7K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-42.5%
−42.7 pp
0.2%
Underwater %47.8%
+17.3 pp
30.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.4%
+25.3 pp
2.1%
Bot %17.3%
+15.4 pp
1.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse