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Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on April 26?

data as of 2026-04-24 22:28 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$11−$2.8K$2.9K
Holders25−1237
Trades158+11147
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.8%
−66.8 pp
96.6%
Avg ROI-4.7%
−4.3 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.50
+1.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.03
+2.03×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$254
$254
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.43
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.6%
−67.8 pp
0.2%
Underwater %87.9%
+71.0 pp
16.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
+43.2 pp
18.2%
Bot %61.5%
+43.2 pp
18.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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