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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-02 04:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K−$10K$41K
Holders489+34455
Trades4.7K−1.5K6.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.1%
−34.2 pp
75.3%
Avg ROI19.3%
+18.5 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.30
+48.82×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×47.91
+47.29×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.2K
−$3.7K
$30.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−178.0 pp
80.3%
Underwater %97.2%
+87.6 pp
9.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.6%
+10.7 pp
66.8%
Bot %77.2%
+10.6 pp
66.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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