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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 18:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.5K−$13K$18K
Holders237−4241
Trades1.8K+3101.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.9%
−5.0 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI8.1%
+6.9 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.00
+23.22×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.41
+24.65×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.3K
−$12.2K
$17.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−128.0 pp
32.3%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.5%
+1.9 pp
33.6%
Bot %49.8%
−13.0 pp
62.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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