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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-10 07:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$6.5K$12K
Holders136−32168
Trades2.8K+272.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−4.4 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI15.9%
+12.6 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−7.77×
×8.28
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−7.46×
×7.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.4K
+$6.1K
$9.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL87.4%
+175.0 pp
-87.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.5 pp
97.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.8%
−35.8 pp
75.7%
Bot %41.4%
−36.8 pp
78.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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