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Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 4?

data as of 2026-01-02 05:06 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$20−$43K$43K
Holders24+618
Trades284+23351
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate73.3%
+73.3 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI132.1%
+132.1 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−0.37×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−0.15×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
−$32
$31
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.5%
+25.5 pp
0.0%
Underwater %16.5%
+16.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.4%
−90.6 pp
100.0%
Bot %92.6%
−7.4 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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