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Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET

data as of 2025-10-01 01:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.9K−$2.9K$4.8K
Holders31+1120
Trades517+205312
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.3%
−29.0 pp
56.4%
Avg ROI10.2%
+12.9 pp
-2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.83
+9.15×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.30
+11.62×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$77
−$56
$133
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.9%
−138.9 pp
46.9%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.7%
−42.0 pp
79.7%
Bot %37.5%
−42.2 pp
79.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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