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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 07:26 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.3K+$421$840
Holders36−137
Trades287−104391
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
+1.8 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI0.7%
−2.0 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.11
+0.04×
×1.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.05
−0.02×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$687
+$391
$296
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.07
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-5.4%
+1.0 pp
-6.3%
Underwater %79.6%
+11.0 pp
68.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.4%
+3.9 pp
53.5%
Bot %50.3%
−6.4 pp
56.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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