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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 14:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$748$15K
Holders134+8126
Trades1.6K+421.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
−1.5 pp
52.7%
Avg ROI1.1%
−0.5 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.43
−10.19×
×10.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.44
−10.63×
×11.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.0K
−$2.0K
$9.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL115.4%
+206.5 pp
-91.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.4%
+2.8 pp
50.5%
Bot %65.4%
+1.5 pp
63.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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