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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 07:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.0K−$12K$20K
Holders282−47329
Trades2.5K+682.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−3.5 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI3.4%
+2.2 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.66
+3.92×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.06
+4.30×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.8K
−$11.1K
$18.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.2%
−116.3 pp
37.1%
Underwater %96.3%
+94.5 pp
1.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.8%
−0.2 pp
43.1%
Bot %63.1%
+0.3 pp
62.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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