Markets › detail

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

data as of 2026-01-05 23:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$141−$66K$66K
Holders51−262313
Trades1.4K+2591.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.5%
−47.8 pp
80.3%
Avg ROI213.1%
+212.7 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−0.50×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−0.32×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$184
$187
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.2%
+46.9 pp
-2.7%
Underwater %6.6%
−93.0 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
−9.2 pp
90.6%
Bot %67.0%
−23.7 pp
90.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse