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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 02:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.9K−$64K$71K
Holders308−130438
Trades3.4K+1913.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.7%
−23.7 pp
63.5%
Avg ROI4.6%
+4.1 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.43
+7.66×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.14
+10.35×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.3K
−$18.6K
$24.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−119.1 pp
26.9%
Underwater %94.0%
+93.9 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.3%
+3.1 pp
67.2%
Bot %54.2%
−16.3 pp
70.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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