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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 08:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.9K−$4.5K$11K
Holders279+74205
Trades1.8K+3191.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−1.7 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.9 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.07
+11.39×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.07
+11.40×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
−$5.0K
$11.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.4%
−143.3 pp
51.9%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.7%
−1.8 pp
38.5%
Bot %60.5%
−11.3 pp
71.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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