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Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

data as of 2026-03-16 14:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$657−$70K$70K
Holders125−138263
Trades3.4K+1.4K2.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.4%
−48.9 pp
88.3%
Avg ROI1.9%
+1.5 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.53
+0.53×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.58
+0.59×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$81
$82
Recent buyer dominance0.56
+0.03
0.52
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-37.8%
−38.7 pp
1.0%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.5%
+3.8 pp
37.7%
Bot %34.4%
−3.2 pp
37.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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