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Will Carson Hocevar win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Window World 450?

data as of 2026-07-19 00:17 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$10$11
Holders3+21
Trades11+101
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate8.4%
+8.4 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI53.7%
+53.7 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$11
$11
Recent buyer dominance0.55
−0.45
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %85.4%
+85.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.5%
−91.5 pp
100.0%
Bot %8.5%
−91.5 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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