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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 17:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.7K−$30K$36K
Holders402+55347
Trades2.6K+3942.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−4.8 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI6.4%
+3.8 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.20
+8.31×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.41
+11.54×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.4K
−$28.6K
$34.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.06
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.4%
−107.0 pp
15.6%
Underwater %92.8%
+92.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.3%
−4.6 pp
40.9%
Bot %53.3%
−9.7 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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