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Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia?

data as of 2026-07-21 12:04 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 22, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
34¢
NO
2¢
YES
34¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13+$13$0
Holders6+51
Trades10+91
NO
2¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.6%
+15.3 pp
27.3%
Avg ROI12.2%
−48.5 pp
60.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.15
−0.85×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−0.40×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
+$1
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL67.8%
+67.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %47.1%
+47.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.5%
+16.5 pp
0.0%
Bot %16.5%
+16.5 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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