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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 19:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$11K$28K
Holders225−43268
Trades3.0K−2393.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−5.6 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI4.0%
+10.0 pp
-6.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×51.22
+50.67×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×50.76
+50.20×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.5K
+$3.0K
$8.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.13
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−173.4 pp
75.6%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.3%
+14.4 pp
64.8%
Bot %81.7%
+15.9 pp
65.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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