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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

data as of 2026-06-29 04:11 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.8K−$5.4K$7.1K
Holders101−8109
Trades817−68885
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
−3.9 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.0 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.17
+18.39×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.65
+17.87×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$355
−$3.7K
$4.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.06
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.1%
−124.9 pp
29.8%
Underwater %99.5%
+97.6 pp
1.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.8%
−0.3 pp
63.2%
Bot %76.6%
+5.9 pp
70.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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