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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2025-11-19 09:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$976$16K
Holders155+53102
Trades989+200789
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−12.6 pp
60.8%
Avg ROI1.9%
+3.9 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.61
+3.92×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.49
+3.83×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$674
−$3.1K
$3.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.5%
−123.0 pp
44.5%
Underwater %95.9%
+88.3 pp
7.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.7%
−5.8 pp
53.5%
Bot %47.2%
−2.4 pp
49.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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