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Heat vs. Magic

data as of 2024-12-21 20:30 UTC● RESOLVEDMagic won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
HEAT
0¢
MAGIC✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
HEAT
0¢
HeatH-MMagic
Position$34K−$6.9K$41K
Holders149+28121
Trades1.3K+971.2K
MAGIC
100¢
HeatΔ H−MMagic
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.9%
−3.0 pp
61.9%
Avg ROI5.3%
−2.6 pp
7.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−2.65×
×3.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−2.16×
×2.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$816
−$529
−$287
Recent buyer dominance0.40
+0.26
0.14
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.8%
+97.3 pp
-65.4%
Underwater %36.2%
−27.6 pp
63.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.9%
−3.8 pp
9.7%
Bot %5.9%
−3.9 pp
9.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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