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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

data as of 2026-07-27 22:41 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 9, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
69¢
NO
10¢
YES
69¢
YesY-NNo
Position$484+$296$188
Holders12012
Trades23−427
NO
10¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.2%
+33.5 pp
34.8%
Avg ROI9.6%
+5.1 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.10×
×1.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.09×
×1.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$1
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+8.2 pp
-8.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−89.1 pp
89.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−89.1 pp
89.1%
Bot %0.0%
−89.1 pp
89.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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