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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 24?

data as of 2026-03-24 10:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$118−$44K$44K
Holders46−1.2K1.2K
Trades535−9781.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.1%
−45.7 pp
87.9%
Avg ROI7.0%
+8.1 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.00
+16.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.75
+14.76×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$49
$49
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.07
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−95.4 pp
1.5%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.6%
+13.2 pp
17.4%
Bot %33.0%
+15.6 pp
17.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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