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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 23:46 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.2K+$3.3K$2.9K
Holders70−979
Trades524−75599
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+6.6 pp
46.1%
Avg ROI3.2%
−2.3 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−4.02×
×4.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−3.14×
×3.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$532
+$465
$66
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.1%
+121.1 pp
-75.0%
Underwater %2.7%
−95.8 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.6%
+3.6 pp
55.0%
Bot %69.1%
+12.3 pp
56.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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