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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$28K$9.5K
Holders385−22407
Trades2.8K−5213.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.2%
+9.5 pp
45.7%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−4.8 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−25.62×
×26.34
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−25.34×
×26.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.1K
+$9.3K
$8.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.05
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL36.4%
+132.1 pp
-95.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−92.0 pp
92.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.9%
+4.3 pp
67.5%
Bot %71.1%
+5.3 pp
65.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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