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Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election?

data as of 2025-04-28 00:47 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$40K+$37K$3.9K
Holders216+17838
Trades642+202440
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate74.3%
+11.2 pp
63.1%
Avg ROI3.6%
−5.8 pp
9.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.01
+0.22×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
+0.20×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.5K
+$2.3K
$223
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.09
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-1.7%
−23.9 pp
22.2%
Underwater %83.8%
+82.0 pp
1.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.2%
−72.8 pp
81.1%
Bot %8.2%
−72.8 pp
81.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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