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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 23:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$6.8K$20K
Holders432+122310
Trades3.3K+1623.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.9%
−10.8 pp
52.7%
Avg ROI7.2%
+6.1 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.00
+39.47×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.29
+29.71×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.2K
−$3.8K
$15.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−172.6 pp
75.7%
Underwater %93.0%
+92.9 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.8%
−9.1 pp
73.9%
Bot %70.1%
−7.1 pp
77.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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