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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

data as of 2026-03-18 23:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.5K−$45K$52K
Holders398+59339
Trades4.4K+4523.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.1%
−28.1 pp
69.2%
Avg ROI-2.8%
−3.0 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.44
+15.56×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.36
+17.48×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
−$23.2K
$29.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−110.1 pp
15.9%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.1%
−8.5 pp
79.5%
Bot %68.3%
−10.6 pp
78.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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