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Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 1?

data as of 2026-03-01 01:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$228−$7.8K$8.0K
Holders72−1284
Trades437+21416
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.9%
−50.4 pp
80.3%
Avg ROI1.0%
+1.7 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.52
+1.55×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.41
+1.43×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$54
$56
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.17
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-58.7%
−61.7 pp
3.0%
Underwater %95.6%
+93.5 pp
2.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.8%
−5.0 pp
10.8%
Bot %10.3%
+1.4 pp
9.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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