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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2025-12-03 01:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$42K+$22K$20K
Holders114−34148
Trades1.2K−191.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate82.5%
+33.7 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI5.7%
+5.3 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−15.78×
×16.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−9.92×
×10.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.6K
+$15.5K
$135
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.06
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL20.7%
+111.4 pp
-90.7%
Underwater %3.9%
−71.9 pp
75.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.1%
−23.0 pp
52.1%
Bot %29.3%
−10.4 pp
39.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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