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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 16:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$56K+$45K$11K
Holders451−32483
Trades4.6K−4955.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.1%
+22.3 pp
43.8%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−0.5 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−13.65×
×14.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−15.02×
×15.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41.6K
+$31.6K
$10.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.00
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.8%
+117.5 pp
-93.7%
Underwater %0.8%
−96.0 pp
96.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.1%
+8.7 pp
63.4%
Bot %71.6%
+9.7 pp
61.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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