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Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

data as of 2026-06-19 08:24 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
91¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$93K−$201K$294K
Holders888+37851
Trades20K+1.3K19K
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.7%
−5.6 pp
61.2%
Avg ROI4.9%
−3.1 pp
8.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.07
+1.18×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.46
+1.59×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$383
−$2.8K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.02
−0.98
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.4%
−70.5 pp
13.1%
Underwater %72.7%
+45.0 pp
27.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.0%
+0.1 pp
15.9%
Bot %19.7%
−3.4 pp
23.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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