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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?

data as of 2026-07-18 07:56 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
35¢
NO
63¢
YES
35¢
YesY-NNo
Position$487−$760$1.2K
Holders25−2954
Trades69−78147
NO
63¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.5%
+19.5 pp
47.0%
Avg ROI10.2%
+6.2 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−0.35×
×1.14
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−0.34×
×1.13
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$363
−$568
$931
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.4%
+37.2 pp
-11.8%
Underwater %0.5%
−99.1 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.3%
−1.1 pp
1.4%
Bot %4.2%
+2.0 pp
2.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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