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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 21:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$47K+$32K$15K
Holders459−86545
Trades3.6K−4254.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.7%
+23.3 pp
45.4%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−2.4 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−23.13×
×23.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−23.32×
×24.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41.0K
+$32.4K
$8.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.1%
+118.1 pp
-96.0%
Underwater %2.9%
−87.8 pp
90.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.9%
−3.1 pp
31.0%
Bot %36.6%
−1.7 pp
38.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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