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Will another person win the first round?

data as of 2026-01-09 22:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$72−$6.3K$6.4K
Holders27−103130
Trades460+43417
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−23.2 pp
66.3%
Avg ROI62.5%
+63.9 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.85
−0.17×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.92
−0.09×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$1.6K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.13
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.2%
+15.8 pp
-1.6%
Underwater %6.0%
−88.5 pp
94.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.8%
−57.1 pp
63.0%
Bot %5.8%
−57.1 pp
63.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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