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Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

data as of 2026-07-12 19:31 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 11, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
11¢
NO
89¢
YES
11¢
YesY-NNo
Position$14−$819$833
Holders15+114
Trades50+1436
NO
89¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate77.5%
+7.5 pp
70.0%
Avg ROI27.7%
+27.8 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$16
$18
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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