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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 13:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$7.1K$16K
Holders318−74392
Trades3.1K−1.1K4.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.4%
+2.7 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI3.2%
+1.5 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−10.88×
×11.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−10.50×
×11.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.4K
+$8.8K
$13.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.3%
+139.5 pp
-91.3%
Underwater %1.4%
−97.3 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.0%
−3.1 pp
56.1%
Bot %62.8%
−1.5 pp
64.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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