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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 14?

data as of 2026-05-14 01:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$760−$5.7K$6.5K
Holders157+40117
Trades707+125582
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−37.1 pp
77.2%
Avg ROI6.0%
+7.3 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.99
+5.08×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.78
+4.86×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25
−$678
$703
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.14
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.3%
−92.9 pp
9.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.5%
−3.5 pp
17.0%
Bot %16.7%
+0.4 pp
16.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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