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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-12 15:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$18K$12K
Holders369−27396
Trades3.7K−3054.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.0%
+27.8 pp
40.1%
Avg ROI0.3%
−1.7 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−33.66×
×34.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−26.57×
×27.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.7K
+$13.7K
$12.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.9%
+130.6 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %18.7%
−76.7 pp
95.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.6%
−6.9 pp
71.5%
Bot %65.3%
−5.7 pp
71.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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