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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?

data as of 2026-02-02 17:05 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$45K+$16K$29K
Holders78−25103
Trades889−1821.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.3%
+18.8 pp
47.5%
Avg ROI-1.2%
−2.0 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−10.47×
×11.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−9.96×
×10.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
+$977
$309
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.8%
+149.1 pp
-91.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.9%
−32.5 pp
35.4%
Bot %4.5%
−30.9 pp
35.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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