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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2025-10-29 22:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.7K−$473$2.2K
Holders51+1734
Trades314+164150
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.1%
−16.1 pp
66.2%
Avg ROI31.7%
+3.9 pp
27.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.96
+10.32×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.36
+9.71×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$334
−$77
$411
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.4%
−144.6 pp
54.2%
Underwater %88.4%
+88.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.5%
−1.5 pp
60.0%
Bot %60.3%
−3.6 pp
63.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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