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Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?

data as of 2026-07-14 11:07 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 22, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
80¢
NO
14¢
YES
80¢
YesY-NNo
Position$457+$449$7
Holders14+122
Trades24+1410
NO
14¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.7%
+40.8 pp
18.0%
Avg ROI2.9%
−18.7 pp
21.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.01
+0.06×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.05
+0.02×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$353
+$356
−$3
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-4.3%
−1.7 pp
-2.7%
Underwater %52.6%
+13.1 pp
39.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−60.5 pp
60.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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