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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3AM ET

data as of 2025-07-17 08:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K−$14K$19K
Holders43+637
Trades1.0K+269747
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.5%
−16.1 pp
56.7%
Avg ROI0.6%
−1.1 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.48
+27.84×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.24
+29.65×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$209
−$408
$618
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.29
0.56
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−166.9 pp
70.5%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.4%
+3.6 pp
69.8%
Bot %73.5%
+3.3 pp
70.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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