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Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-25 04:52 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles May 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12K−$210K$222K
Holders539−74613
Trades8.5K+4.9K3.7K
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.3%
−41.2 pp
78.5%
Avg ROI11.2%
+5.4 pp
5.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.44
+3.49×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.51
+3.57×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$196
−$9.9K
$10.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.9%
−88.0 pp
8.2%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.5 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.8%
−8.0 pp
14.9%
Bot %4.9%
−19.6 pp
24.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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