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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-02-27 17:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$19K$40K
Holders341−42383
Trades5.0K−4455.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−12.7 pp
61.3%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−11.9 pp
11.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.84
+10.14×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.73
+9.05×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.0K
−$13.8K
$15.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.01
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.3%
−134.2 pp
43.9%
Underwater %97.9%
+97.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.5%
−4.0 pp
71.6%
Bot %66.7%
−6.6 pp
73.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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