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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2025-10-09 18:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$174−$137$311
Holders10−313
Trades26−1541
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
+4.3 pp
47.0%
Avg ROI7.4%
+12.1 pp
-4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−1.31×
×2.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−1.08×
×1.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$44
+$38
$7
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.22
0.61
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.7%
+80.1 pp
-44.4%
Underwater %7.8%
−78.7 pp
86.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.1%
+25.2 pp
19.9%
Bot %35.2%
+15.3 pp
19.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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