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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18?

data as of 2026-07-16 07:20 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 18, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
32¢
NO
67¢
YES
32¢
YesY-NNo
Position$128−$182$310
Holders13+112
Trades50+2030
NO
67¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−29.1 pp
74.1%
Avg ROI12.0%
+8.3 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−0.21×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−0.17×
×1.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28
−$39
$67
Recent buyer dominance0.73
−0.27
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL12.2%
+17.6 pp
-5.4%
Underwater %11.6%
−76.1 pp
87.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %41.6%
+9.7 pp
31.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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