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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-05-17 08:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$7.8K$4.9K
Holders206−110316
Trades1.6K−5062.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+7.7 pp
45.5%
Avg ROI0.5%
+0.4 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−15.69×
×16.39
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.66
−14.23×
×14.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.0K
+$2.8K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.9%
+137.1 pp
-93.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.2%
−0.5 pp
50.7%
Bot %75.0%
−1.3 pp
76.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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